That's what the prognosticators at Deadline are saying, anyway. Biebs' 3D documentary Never Say Never had a bigger haul than any other movie on Friday, but its grosses are expected to drop by 40% on Saturday, slightly behind the money brought in by Adam Sandler's rom-com Just Go With It. How does that compare to the opening weekends for other stars' recent film vehicles and vanity projects?

  • Bjork's Dancer in the Dark (2000): $91,612
  • Mariah Carey's Glitter (2001): $2,414,596
  • *NSYNC's (Lance Bass and Joey Fatone) On the Line (2001): $2,307,063
  • Method Man and Redman's How High (2001): $7,102,260
  • Britney Spears' Crossroads (2002): $14,527,187
  • Lil Bow Wow's Like Mike (2002): $12,179,420
  • Eminem's 8 Mile (2002): $51,240,555
  • Beyonce's Austin Powers in Goldmember (2002): $73,071,188
  • Jessica Simpson's The Dukes of Hazzard (2005): $30,675,314
  • Ashlee Simpson's Undiscovered (2005): $676,048
  • T.I.'s ATL (2006): $11,554,404
  • Outkast's Idlewild (2006): $5,745,780
  • 50 Cent's Get Rich or Die Tryin' (2006): $12,020,807
  • Hannah Montana & Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds (2008): $31,117,834
  • Norah Jones' My Blueberry Nights (2008): $74,146
  • Jonas Brothers: The 3D Concert Experience (2009): $12,510,374
  • Christina Aguilera's Burlesque (2010): $11,947,744

To put it in crude, non-inflation-adjusted terms, the skinny Stratfordian has the box-office draw of two Britneys, twelve Mariahs and 0.9 Mileys. Unlike Bjork or Prince, however, he probably won't get an Oscar nomination.